Australian Government - TRA

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Tourism Reseach Australia

Forecasts

Tourism Forecasts

Tourism Forecasts, Spring 2013
Release: 25/10/2013

The Tourism Research Australia (TRA) tourism forecast publication provides ten-year forecasts for Australia’s inbound, domestic and outbound tourism sectors.

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Key Findings

  • International visitor arrivals are forecast to grow 5.8 per cent to 6.6 million in 2013–14 and 5.6 per cent to 7.0 million in 2014–15, driven by growth from China, the United Kingdom, New Zealand and the United States. Inbound expenditure is forecast to grow on average 3.5 per cent per annum and reach $39 billion by 2022–23.
  • Domestic visitor nights are forecast to increase 2.0 per cent to 293 million in 2013–14 with domestic spend to grow on average 1.1 per cent per annum and reach $76 billion by 2022–23.
  • Growth in Australian resident departures will slow to a growth of 4.9 per cent to reach 8.8 million in 2013–14 and 2.9 per cent to 9.1 million in 2014–15, primarily due to the weakening Australian dollar.
  • Total visitor expenditure in real terms is forecast to reach $98 billion in 2013–14 and to $115 billion by 2022–23.

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